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Nov 4, 2019

U.S. stocks rise to records as treasuries slump

Pedestrians pass in front of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., on Friday, May 24, 2019. U.S. equities climbed at the end of a bruising week in which escalating trade tensions dominated markets.

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U.S. stock benchmarks climbed to all-time highs, while Treasuries tumbled as trade optimism fueled demand for risk assets.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed Monday to claim its first record since July. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes also hit new highs after a report that the U.S. and China are closing in on a partial trade deal and the Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 1.78 per cent and the dollar advanced versus major peers.

In company news, McDonald’s Corp. fell after firing its chief executive and Under Armour Inc. sank after disclosing an accounting probe -- both declines weighing heavily on consumer shares. Banks and industrial firms led the Stoxx Europe 600 Index toward a four-year high after the U.S. commerce secretary said tariffs on importing vehicles into the American market might be unnecessary. All major Asian markets advanced. A gauge of emerging-market stocks was set for its biggest gain in three weeks.

Investors are trying to push up stocks for a fifth successive week and add to the 18 per cent gain this year already notched by a global gauge of equities. Earnings continue to roll in around the world, with Uber Technologies Inc. and Marriott International Inc. still due Monday. In China, trade data at the end of this week will give details for October against a backdrop of easing tensions on negotiations with U.S. counterparts.

“The earnings season primarily has been so much better than we expected it to be,” JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade, said by phone. “Not that it’s an unbelievable earnings season, but it’s been so much above expectations. The rhetoric on tariffs has been mostly positive and we continue to see positive numbers out of particularly employment, but really in general about the economy.”

Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross expressed optimism the U.S. would reach a “phase one” trade deal with China this month and said licenses would be coming “very shortly” for American companies to sell components to Huawei Technologies Co. President Donald Trump told reporters Sunday that a trade deal, if completed, will be signed somewhere in the U.S.

Elsewhere, crude-oil futures climbed. The initial public offering process for Saudi Aramco officially started on Sunday, with the stock likely to begin trading in Riyadh next month. Valuations vary widely.

Here are some key events coming up this week:

Earnings are due from companies including: Uber and Marriott International on Monday; Singapore Airlines on Tuesday; SoftBank and BMW on Wednesday; Walt Disney, Toyota, Deutsche Telekom on Thursday.
U.S. durable goods data is due Monday along with factory orders.
Regional Fed presidents including Charles Evans, John Williams and Patrick Harker speak at events on Wednesday.
Central bank monetary decisions are due Tuesday in Australia and Thursday by the Bank of England.
The USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates Report for November comes out Friday

These are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

The S&P 500 Index rose 0.4 per cent as of 4 p.m. New York time; the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.4 per cent.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index jumped 1 per cent to a four-year high.
Germany’s DAX Index surged 1.4 per cent to a 17-month high.
The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 1.3 per cent to the highest in more than four months.

Currencies

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index increased 0.3 per cent, the biggest gain in five weeks.
The euro fell 0.4 per cent to US$1.1127.
The British pound fell 0.5 per cent to US$1.2884.
The Japanese yen weakened 0.4 per cent to 108.62 per dollar.

Bonds

The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose seven basis points to 1.78 per cent.
The two-year rate added four basis points to 1.59 per cent.
Germany’s 10-year yield rose three basis points to -0.35 per cent.
Britain’s 10-year yield climbed six basis points to 0.725 per cent.

Commodities

The Bloomberg Commodity Index jumped 0.5 per cent to a seven-week high.
West Texas Intermediate crude increased 0.6 per cent to US$56.52 a barrel.
Gold weakened 0.4 per cent to US$1,508.53 an ounce

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