Analysts Chop Shopify Targets as E-Commerce Growth Slows

Jan 20, 2022

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(Bloomberg) -- Analysts have pushed their price targets on Shopify Inc. to the lowest level since July after a swift and brutal correction in richly-valued technology stocks. 

The Canadian e-commerce firm has plunged 37% and lost more than $75 billion in market value since Nov. 19 amid a broader tech selloff, ending its run as the country’s most valuable public company. 

Analysts from Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse and Roth Capital Partners have cut their targets this week, citing lower online sales trends as more shoppers head back to physical stores. 

Roth analyst Darren Aftahi expects Shopify’s fourth-quarter results to be “marginally better” than the firm’s estimates, based on a survey of merchants using its platform. Yet Aftahi still chopped his price target to $1,400 from $1,650. 

“We continue to view Shopify as one of the leaders in e-commerce, but with the likelihood of Covid trends beginning to dissipate, including those mentioned by Shopify’s management team, we have begun to see multiples compress, even more so from ‘stay-at-home’ beneficiaries,” the analyst said in a note to clients. He maintained a buy rating. 

Shopify’s revenue is expected to come in at $4.57 billion for the year that ended on Dec. 31, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg -- up 56% from the year before. That growth rate is expected to slow to 32% in 2022.

Shopify rose 3.4% to $1,066.34 as of 11:43 a.m. in New York. It’s now the third-largest Canadian public company by market value, behind two banks. 

 

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