Brazil Sees Argentina in Urgent Need of Another Bailout

May 30, 2023

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(Bloomberg) -- President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s economic team considers that Argentina, battered by spiraling inflation and a severe drought, will soon need some sort of additional financial support, according to a Brazilian government official familiar with the discussion.

The official, who requested anonymity to reveal internal discussions, described Argentina as a regional partner that’s too big to collapse, but not relevant enough on the global stage to convince the International Monetary Fund or even China to mobilize the additional resources the country urgently needs. 

The alternative, the person said, would be to seek support from Chile and Colombia, the two other major South American economies whose presidents are participating in a summit organized by Lula in Brasilia on Tuesday.

Read More: Lula’s Summit Gathers Struggling South American Leaders

Brazil has not yet figured out a plan to assist Argentina, the official added, and is unlikely to transfer funds directly to the country.

A spokesperson for Argentina’s President Alberto Fernandez said the country has never asked for a bilateral loan but that Brazil and Argentina share the same perspective on the country’s situation. Lula has said he’s actively working to help Buenos Aires overcome the crisis.

Argentina’s economic problems are escalating as consumer prices soar 109% a year, raising concerns they they could spiral into hyperinflation territory just as the country prepares for a crucial presidential election in October. Fernandez’s administration has raised the benchmark interest rate to 97%, but failed to rein in inflation as the central bank keeps printing pesos to finance government spending.

Desperate to boost Argentina’s foreign reserves and avoid a messy devaluation of the peso, Fernandez has dispatched Economy Minister Sergio Massa and a large delegation to China to negotiate a larger currency swap line with Beijing. 

Lula has also asked his Finance Minister Fernando Haddad to attend a meeting of the New Development Bank, the bank of BRICS nations that include Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, to lobby for alternative forms of assistance to Argentina. Haddad wasn’t able to travel to China, but has participated in the meeting remotely.

--With assistance from Patrick Gillespie.

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