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Jul 6, 2018

Canada adds 31,800 jobs in June, led by jump in part-time positions

Part-time gains drive Canadian jobs growth in June

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Canada’s tight jobs market is beginning to bring more workers into the labour force, a trend that if sustained may moderate a recent pick up in wage pressures.

The labour force expanded by 75,600 in June, the biggest one-month increase in six years, Statistics Canada reported Friday from Ottawa. With less than half of new job seekers finding work, the labour force increase boosted the unemployment rate to an eight-month high of 6 per cent. Employment jumped by 31,800 last month.

"A higher unemployment rate coinciding with a strong jobs gain in June is the best of possible worlds for Canada, with more of us working, but perhaps a bit more room for that to continue without triggering an inflation spike," Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC Capital Markets, wrote in a note to clients.

"A 32K rise in employment was refreshing news after a couple of weak months." 

The labour force growth is likely to be welcomed by the Bank of Canada, which has been arguing that pockets of untapped market slack remain that could limit wage and price pressures. That belief has been one justification they’ve been using for being cautious on rate hikes. Up until last month, the country’s labour force had been little changed through 2018.

McCreath: Canada's headline jobs print 'pretty darn good' but underlying data 'lousy'

BNN Bloomberg Commentator looks under the hood of the latest Canadian jobs report and explains how the underlying data reveals a less rosy picture for the economy than the headline numbers. He also discusses why he thinks Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz will announce a "dovish hike" next week, and why bond yields have been so low in Canada.

Canada has been producing some of the strongest pay gains in years and that trend continued in June with average hourly wages up 3.6 per cent from a year earlier. While down from 3.9 per cent in May, it’s still one of the highest readings since the 2008-2009 recession.

The employment increase last month beat economist expectations for a 20,000 gain and was the second highest so far in a year where job creation has been sluggish. The breakdown of the gains however was less rosy -- centered around self- employment, part-time work and the public sector. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News had projected the unemployment rate would remain unchanged at 5.8 per cent, which matched the lowest on record.

Other Employment Highlights

The labour force participation rate increased to 65.5 per cent in June, from 65.3 per cent a month earlier, reflecting in large part higher youth participation The number of people aged 15 to 24 in the labour force increased by 27,400, raising the participation rate for that group to 64 per cent from 63.4 per cent The monthly employment gain was driven by part-time workers, which were 22,700 higher for the month. Full-time employment was up by 9,100 By sector, employment in goods producing industries was up by 46,600, the highest since April 2012, led by construction and manufacturing Service producing industries lost 14,700 jobs during the month Self-employment was up by 22,000, with employment in the public sector rising by 11,800. Private sector employment was down by 2,000

With files from BNN Bloomberg 

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