FOCUS: North American Equities and Macro Themes

Market Outlook:

There will be a lot of noise around two key macro themes:

The first is what central banks will do and how effective will it be. With NIRP (negative Interest Rate Policy) replacing ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) – the world is in unchartered territory. The monetary policy will have to be supplemented with Fiscal Policies. This is why I think Oil is having an outsized effect on the global economy – as it is a mechanism to help with the flow of funds throughout the global economy. This leads to the next major policy – whether OPEC and Non-OPEC countries will do anything meaningful to reduce oil production.  I don’t believe they will which will lead to lower oil prices for longer. In fact today Saudi Arabia and Russia increased their oil output.

This is going to be a very volatile market for all asset classes – I think focusing on growth markets that have long term on-going demand drivers will be the best areas to focus on. Classic Hedging and risk mitigation strategies will not be – such as basic asset allocation, will be challenged going forward.

TOP PICKS:

Axios Mobile Assets (AXA.V) 

TECSYS (TCS.TO) 

Terra Firma Capital (TII.V) 

 

Disclosure: Personal Family Portfolio/Fund
AXA Y N Y
TCS Y N Y
TII Y N Y
 

Past Picks: This is Mr. Fisher's first appearance on Market Call. He has no prior picks.