The question is how much Canadians will open their wallet: Nik Nanos on consumer confidence
Consumer confidence in Canada rose to its highest level in eight months amid optimism positive vaccine developments will sustain an economic recovery.
The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index, a composite measure of financial health and economic expectations, reached 53.3 last week, its highest since mid-March when widespread shutdowns were imposed to curb the spread of COVID-19.
While the index is still below its long-term average, the gain in sentiment likely reflects hope of a quick global rollout of vaccines, with a massive mobilization set to get underway this week. The U.K. is set to launch Pfizer Inc.’s shot beginning Tuesday. The U.S. could approve the vaccine as early as Thursday. Canadian health officials expect to green-light the shot soon after the Americans.
The Canadian stock market last month had the biggest monthly gain since April, matching global gains on optimism over vaccines.
The increase in Canadian sentiment may have broken a recent holding pattern. The index is still three points below longer-term averages, but had been hovering at current levels for weeks amid a second wave of virus cases after making up the bulk of its pandemic losses over the summer months.
Every week, Nanos Research surveys 250 Canadians for their views on personal finances, job security and their outlook for the economy and real estate prices. Bloomberg publishes four-week rolling averages of the 1,000 responses.
-The share of respondents who believe the economy will strengthen over the next six months rose to 19.9 per cent, the highest reading since September
-Real estate optimism continues to grow, consistent with recent strength in home prices and sales. Some 45 per cent of respondents say they expect the value of homes in their neighborhood to increase in the next six months
-Almost 64 per cent of respondents say their job is either secure or somewhat secure, the highest reading in two months. Through November, the economy had recovered 81 per cent of the 3 million jobs lost during the spring shutdowns, according to a report Friday