(Bloomberg) -- Italy’s economy shrank in the third quarter and industrial production plunged in November. It’s tempting to blame this on the travails of Germany’s auto industry, but Bloomberg Economics’ supply-chain analysis shows that the value of goods produced in Italy to meet demand from German carmakers is too small to explain the weakness. A lot may have had to do with political uncertainty, which had a fallout on hiring and investment.

To contact the staff on this story: Maeva Cousin (Economist) in Zurich at mcousin3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Zoe Schneeweiss at zschneeweiss@bloomberg.net;Fergal O’Brien at fobrien@bloomberg.net

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