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Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn will embark on a frantic last day of campaigning after a YouGov poll of more than 100,000 voters suggested Johnson would win a parliamentary majority of just 28 seats.
The prediction, down from 68 in a similar forecast two weeks earlier, shows how the race has tightened. Both leaders will seek to spur voters to the polls with the message that Britain’s future is on a knife-edge.
Must Read: Boris Johnson’s Lead Cut in Key Forecast Ahead of U.K. Election
For more on the election visit: ELEC
Coming Up:
- Johnson will campaign in the north and east of England in a final push for votes.
- Corbyn will travel to Scotland, northeast England and the Midlands before ending the day with a rally in east London at 8 p.m.
- Labour’s economic spokesman John McDonnell will speak on Bloomberg TV at 8:45 a.m.
- Liberal Democrats leader Jo Swinson will tour target seats including Esher, where they aim to unseat Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab.
- Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage will be in Doncaster, seeking to win votes from Labour
Polls:
- YouGov MRP House of Commons seat forecast: Conservatives: 339, Labour: 231, Scottish National Party 41, Liberal Democrats 15
- YouGov sees Tories with 43% of vote, Labour 34%
- Ipsos MORI net favorability of party leaders: Johnson -14, Corbyn -30, Swinson -31, Farage -34.
- Click here for a summary of election polls
Catching Up:
- After unprecedented levels of disinformation, Britain faces up to the need for new election laws.
- Corbyn hurt by leak of senior ally’s phone call.
- Activists are promoting tactical voting to beat the U.K.’s first-past-post electoral system. Read our guide to how it could influence the outcome.
- How hedge funds are preparing for Thursday night’s results.
- The European Union hopes Johnson wins big to get Brexit over with.
The markets:
- The pound was little changed against the dollar at $1.3137 at 6:50 a.m. on Wednesday
- Sterling’s rally on bets for a win by the ruling Conservative party leaves it looking vulnerable to the actual result.
- The chances of a Conservative majority dipped to 75% from 80% on Monday, according to Betfair. There is a 26% chance of a hung parliament, according to the odds.
--With assistance from Peter Flanagan.
To contact the reporter on this story: Thomas Penny in London at tpenny@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Tim Ross at tross54@bloomberg.net, Chris Kay, Guy Collins
©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
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