Clues from Lehman crisis for the potential part for gold
Bank of America Corp. raised its 18-month gold-price target to US$3,000 an ounce -- more than 50 per cent above the existing price record -- in a report titled “The Fed can’t print gold.”
Analysts including Michael Widmer increased the target from US$2,000 previously, as policy makers across the globe unleash vast amounts of fiscal and monetary stimulus to help shore up economies hurt by the coronavirus.
“As economic output contracts sharply, fiscal outlays surge, and central bank balance sheets double, fiat currencies could come under pressure,” the report said. “Investors will aim for gold.”
BofA expects bullion to average US$1,695 an ounce this year and US$2,063 in 2021. The record of US$1,921.17 was set in September 2011. Spot prices traded around US$1,680 on Tuesday and are up 11 per cent this year.
To be sure, a strong dollar, reduced financial market volatility, and lower jewelry demand in India and China could remain headwinds for gold, BofA said.
“But beyond traditional gold supply and demand fundamentals, financial repression is back on an extraordinary scale,” the report said.