Jul 17, 2020
Goldman predicts U.S. may have a COVID-19 vaccine by end of year
Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine produced antibodies in all patients tested
The first vaccine for COVID-19 could be available in the U.S. later this year, Goldman Sachs analysts forecast.
The potential for Moderna Inc. to file interim results with U.S. regulators from a 30,000-patient trial due to start by July 27 is underappreciated, analysts led by Salveen Richter said.
The chances of success in 2020 are enhanced further by four other vaccine programs slated to enter into the final research phase of testing sometime this summer, according to Goldman.
Those experimental inoculations expected to start large-scale testing this summer are from Pfizer Inc. in partnership with BioNtech SE; AstraZeneca Plc with University of Oxford; Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc. and Sinovac Biotech Ltd.
How quickly a vaccine could win regulatory approval has been the subject of much debate on Wall Street, especially as analysts weigh the political implications if one were to come before U.S. November elections.
Russian attempts to hack into international research centers that are racing to develop a COVID-19 vaccine threaten to further darken that contest.
Moderna and Pfizer’s RNA-based vaccines may be the first to pass regulatory hurdles while appearing the most promising for broad use in a larger population, Richter wrote in a note to Goldman clients.
Shots derived from engineered viruses known as adenoviral vectors, like those from AstraZeneca and CanSino Biologics, are more likely to only work in select groups, she said.
Still with nearly eight billion people across the planet, “multiple vaccines against Covid-19 will be required to treat the global population,” Goldman says.