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Nov 16, 2021

Home Depot sales gain shows Americans keep fixing up houses

Greg Newman discusses Home Depot

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Home Depot Inc. posted stronger-than-expected results in the third quarter, a sign that increased North American spending on home improvement continues to stretch through the pandemic. 

Comparable-store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 6.1 per cent in the period, according to a statement released Tuesday. That’s well above the 1.5 per cent average estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

The results show how some retailers are managing to overcome obstacles ranging from supply-chain logjams and a labor shortage to a stubborn bout of inflation. Walmart Inc. also reported earnings Tuesday that outpaced Wall Street’s expectations.

The key for Home Depot has been remaining flexible at a time of extreme volatility across the retail sector. “Ultimately, this is what has allowed us to respond to the elevated home improvement demand that has persisted,” Chief Executive Officer Craig Menear said in the statement. 

Home Depot shares rose 2.4 per cent as of 9:18 a.m. in early trading in New York. The stock was up 40 per cent this year through Monday’s close, outpacing the 25 per cent gain of the S&P 500 index.
 

HOUSING STRENGTH

Home Depot’s earnings last quarter were US$3.92 a share, beating analysts’ expectations. Revenue of US$36.8 billion was above the consensus.

Part of the retailer’s results are being fueled by the strength in U.S. housing market. In 2021, the housing market U.S. home prices have appreciated steadily, although that growth cooled off slightly in August. Rising home prices often fuel spending on improvement projects, buoying Home Depot’s sales. 

Drew Reading, a homebuilding analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, said that while Home Depot’s transactions were lower, the 12.9 per cent increase in average ticket is likely a reflection of robust demand among higher-spending professionals. The average ticket size rose even as customer transactions fell 5.5 per cent.

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“The higher ticket also reflects inflation, highlighting the company’s ability to pass costs through to consumers,” Reading said. 

While the company is weathering the impact of higher costs, they could become a bigger hurdle.

“As the company moves solidly into the new year, things get a little tougher,” Neil Saunders, managing director at GlobalData, said in a note. “We believe higher costs -- especially from heating and fuel -- will start to bite on consumer spending.”