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Gold Extends Gains on Weaker Dollar and Rising Risks in Ukraine

A 500 gram gold bar arranged at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. Gold slipped — after hitting an all-time high in the previous session — with investors assessing recent hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials that downplayed the possibility of imminent rate cuts. (Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- Gold rose for a fourth day as the US dollar weakened and rising tensions in Ukraine buoyed demand for haven assets.

Bullion climbed as much as 1.1% to trade near $2,666 an ounce on Friday, after Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that his forces could strike “decision-making centers” in Kyiv with ballistic missiles. Meanwhile, the dollar slipped against major currencies, with an index of greenback strength headed for its first weekly decline in two months. That makes gold cheaper for many buyers. 

Bullion is still down about 2% for the week, though, amid signs of deescalating tensions in the Middle East following a US-brokered cease-fire deal between Israel and Hezbollah that came into effect Wednesday.

Year to date, gold is up almost 30%, supported by the US Federal Reserve’s monetary easing cycle, central-bank purchases and heightened geopolitical and economic risks. Some analysts expect fresh records in 2025, with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and UBS Group AG both issuing bullish outlooks this month.

Spot gold rose 0.8% to $2,659.14 an ounce as of 12:37 p.m. in New York. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index dipped 0.2%, and is down 1.1% this week. Silver, platinum and palladium rallied.

Swaps markets are pricing in a two-third chance that the Fed will reduce borrowing costs again next month, up from roughly even odds early this week. Lower borrowing costs typically benefit gold, as it doesn’t pay interest.

--With assistance from Jack Ryan.

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.