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Nov 28, 2018

Oil tumbles on larger-than-expected U.S. inventory increase

Oil

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Oil prices tumbled lower as a unexpectedly large increase in U.S. crude inventories added to worries about a supply glut ahead of a meeting between top exporters Russia and Saudi Arabia.

Futures fell 2.5 per cent in New York, following a report by the Energy Information Administration that domestic oil supplies climbed for the 10th straight week, fed by rising imports.

Traders remain focused on the meeting expected at the G-20 summit in Argentina between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. OPEC and its allies are mulling an output cut of 1 million barrels a day or more at a meeting next week in Vienna, as the group looks to stabilize prices that have plunged more than 30 per cent since October.

“Everybody’s looking to the OPEC meeting to determine a sense of where prices are going to go and that will depend largely on how severe the cuts are," said Adam Wise, who manages a US$9 billion oil and gas portfolio for John Hancock Financial Services Inc. in Boston.

West Texas Intermediate for January slid US$1.27 to US$50.29 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The U.S. benchmark’s 14-day Relative Strength Index remains in oversold territory.

Brent for January settlement declined 2.4 per cent to US$58.76 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures Europe exchange.

 

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Saudi Arabia and Nigeria are confident that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners will succeed in stabilizing prices, energy ministers Khalid Al-Falih and Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu told reporters in Abuja. But Al-Falih was less definitive than in previous comments and didn’t mention an actual production cut.

Adding uncertainty, Putin said in Moscow that current Brent prices around US$60 a barrel are “ absolutely fine” for his country. Two weeks ago, he said a level of US$70 suited Russia.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration, meanwhile, said nationwide crude stockpiles jumped by 3.58 million barrels last week, well above the 1 million barrel increase predicted by analysts in a Bloomberg survey. Gasoline supplies fell unexpectedly, but not enough to overcome the pessimism.

“It’s an elevated build relative to where consensus was on crude," Nick Holmes, a director at Kansas-based Tortoise, which oversees a US$16 billion energy portfolio. “People expected as refinery maintenance started to wind down we’d start to see some more draws."

Other oil-market news: Gasoline  futures dropped 1.6 per cent to US$1.3979 a gallon. The  EIA found gasoline stocks fell 764,000 barrels, less than the median estimate of a 1 million decline predicted by analysts in the  Bloomberg survey.  America’s biggest shale explorers are heading into the new year more exposed to oil-price swings just as the market sells off, based on data on  hedging contracts.