Oil fell this week as prospects for a global economic slowdown weighed heavily on the demand outlook. 

West Texas Intermediate futures dropped 6.7 per cent for the week amid tightening monetary policy and renewed anti-virus lockdowns in China. Meanwhile, traders shrugged off an announcement by G-7 leaders of plans to cap the price of Russian crude in retaliation for Vladimir Putin’s aggression in Ukraine. 

The G-7 move is largely symbolic “as the Russians are proving capable of circumventing restrictions already imposed by the G-7 countries, and hitting a record high export volume in August despite sanctions,” analysts at wholesale-fuel distributor TACenergy wrote in a note to clients.

On Friday, prices briefly rebounded after the US State Department said the Iran’s latest response to nuclear-deal proposals was “not constructive.” The talks are being closely watched by oil traders because any deal to relax sanctions could allow more Iranian crude to flow into markets. 

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Oil fell by more than 20 per cent in the three months through August, erasing all of the gains since Russia’s late-February invasion of Ukraine. 

The price retreat poses a challenge for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, with ministers due to meet Monday to plan output policy. While OPEC-watchers expect the group to keep supplies steady, Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman raised the possibility of a production cut in remarks last week.

Prices:

  • WTI for October delivery rose 26 cents to settle at US$86.87 a barrel
  • Brent for November settlement rose 66 cents to US$93.02

Widely-watched time spreads, an indicator of market tightness, have been volatile. Brent’s prompt spread -- the difference between its nearest two contracts -- was US$1.21 a barrel in a backwardation, compared with almost US$2 a barrel at the end of last week and 63 cents two weeks ago.