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Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said recent bank turmoil has increased the risk of a US recession but that it was too soon to judge what it means for the economy and monetary policy.
The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of underlying price pressures probably remained elevated in February, keeping officials in a precarious spot as they seek to balance inflation-fighting resolve and stress on the banking system.
Christine Lagarde is cementing her credentials as the biggest hawk among major central bankers despite the mounting banking stress, handing financial markets a reason to buy the euro and sell German bonds.
Bond investors are piling into wagers that a US recession is around the corner amid a growing dissonance between how markets and the Federal Reserve see the outlook for the economy.
Investors are quickly dividing corporate borrowers into the haves and the have-nots.
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