Stocks rally on renewed U.S.-China trade hopes; pound climbs as May survives vote

Dec 11, 2018

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U.S. stocks advanced as the outlook for trade took a positive turn and the British prime minister defeated a challenge to her leadership.

The S&P 500 rose 0.5 per cent after an afternoon slump that pared its gain by more than half. It marked the fourth straight day that investors sold an early rally, a trend that’s a stark reversal from months where traders bought any meaningful dip. Oil’s retreat coincided with the move, amid reports that deep discord exists among OPEC members ahead of planned output cuts.

In Canada, the S&P/TSX Composite rose 157.03 points to close at 14,783.06.

“We’re in a stock market correction. All rallies are suspect,” said Michael Antonelli, the managing director at Robert W. Baird & Co.

The early gains came as signs emerged that trade tensions would ease, first after the arrested Huawei executive was granted bail and then when President Donald Trump suggested he could use his influence to calm that situation as part of a deal with China. For its part, China hinted that it would ease access to local markets. The Asian country is also making its first sizable purchase of U.S. soybeans since the countries imposed tariffs.

The British pound surged the most in a month on speculation Theresa May will survive the vote of confidence and mostly held onto the gains after her victory was confirmed. Treasuries and the dollar both slipped as data showed a key measure of U.S. inflation picked up as expected in November.

While developments on trade tends and Brexit have been at the forefront for investors, they’re also keeping watch on the risk of a shutdown of parts of the U.S. government. Trump is at odds with Democratic leaders in Congress over funding for a border wall with Mexico.

Elsewhere, India’s bonds rallied after an ally of Prime Minister Narendra Modi was named as the new central bank chief.

These are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

The S&P 500 Index advanced 0.5 per cent at the close of trading in New York. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index jumped 1.7 per cent to the highest in a week. The Nikkei-225 Stock Average added 2.2 per cent. The MSCI Emerging Market Index advanced 1.6 per cent.

Currencies

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index decreased 0.4 per cent. The euro increased 0.5 per cent to US$1.1373. The British pound jumped 1 per cent to US$1.2615. The Japanese yen gained 0.1 per cent to 113.24 per dollar.

Bonds

The yield on 10-year Treasuries climbed three basis points to 2.91 per cent. Germany’s 10-year yield climbed five basis points to 0.28 per cent. Britain’s 10-year yield jumped nine basis points to 1.28 per cent.

Commodities

West Texas Intermediate crude fell 1 per cent to US$51.14 a barrel. Gold advanced 0.2 per cent to US$1,245.86 an ounce.