BNN Bloomberg's mid-morning market update: July 19, 2021
Stocks slumped around the world as investors rushed into haven assets after the delta coronavirus variant cast a pall over the economic recovery, while tension between the U.S. and China escalated.
In a reversal of the reopening trade that has powered this year’s equity rally, cyclical companies bore the brunt of the rout on Monday. Commodity, financial and industrial shares led losses in the S&P 500, which fell the most in two months. The Dow Jones Industrial Average had its biggest decline since October, while small caps extended a slide from March’s peak to nearly 10 per cent. After recently plunging to pre-pandemic levels, the Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, soared.
With the risk-off sentiment spreading across global markets, long-term Treasury rates spiraled to their lowest since February -- dragging the yield curve flatter. Ten-year yields tumbled as much 12 basis points to as little as 1.17 per cent. The dollar rose alongside the yen and the Swiss franc. Despite the classic safety trade, gold retreated. Oil sank after OPEC+ agreed to boost supply into 2022. Meantime, Bitcoin’s slide pushed the world’s largest digital currency closer to US$30,000.
The resurgence of COVID-19 is unsettling global investors, who are considering whether new lockdown restrictions will sap the economic rebound and reverse an equity rally that had driven stocks to a record. Matt Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, told Bloomberg Television that the move to “higher-quality assets” such as Treasuries is justified. Americans should avoid traveling to the U.K. because of a surge in that nation’s spread of COVID-19, U.S. government and health officials warned.
“Risk aversion is firmly in place as the Delta COVID variant spread is triggering a flight to safety,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “Equities were ripe for a pullback given Wall Street was in agreement that this is ‘as good as it gets’ for peak earnings, economic growth, monetary stimulus. It is hard to hold risky assets over the short-term now.”
Geopolitical jitters also resurfaced on Monday after the U.S., the U.K. and their allies said the Chinese government has been the mastermind behind a series of malicious ransomware, data theft and cyber-espionage attacks against public and private entities -- including the sprawling Microsoft Exchange hack earlier this year.
Some key events to watch this week:
- Reserve Bank of Australia meeting minutes Tuesday
- European Central Bank rate decision Thursday
- Bank Indonesia rate decision Thursday
- U.S. existing home sales Thursday
- The Tokyo Summer Olympics begin Friday
Here are some of the main market moves:
- The S&P 500 fell 1.6 per cent as of 4 p.m. New York time
- The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.9 per cent
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.1 per cent
- The MSCI World index fell 1.7 per cent
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.3 per cent
- The euro was little changed at US$1.1798
- The British pound fell 0.7 per cent to US$1.3671
- The Japanese yen rose 0.5 per cent to 109.49 per dollar
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined 10 basis points to 1.19 per cent
- Germany’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to -0.39 per cent
- Britain’s 10-year yield declined seven basis points to 0.56 per cent
- West Texas Intermediate crude fell 7.6 per cent to US$66.34 a barrel
- Gold futures fell 0.2 per cent to US$1,812 an ounce
--With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Robert Brand, Kamaron Leach, David Wilson, Natalia Kniazhevich and Nancy Moran.