Jul 28, 2021
Stocks rise, bonds turn higher as Fed holds rates
Investors should remain balanced until markets settle: Eaton Vance's Eddie Perkin
U.S. equities rose and Treasury yields fell after the Federal Reserve held interest rates near zero and Chairman Jerome Powell said that despite the economy’s progress he was still “a ways away” from raising them.
The Nasdaq 100 extended its advance and the S&P 500 reversed a decline to end the session little changed following the announcement. Alphabet Inc. gave the biggest boost to both indexes after it reported sales that beat estimates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell, with a drop in McDonald’s Corp. weighing heavily after its earnings release. Facebook Inc. dropped in postmarket trading after saying revenue growth will slow this year. Ten-year Treasury yields fell 1 basis point to 1.23 per cent after climbing to as high of 1.27 per cent.
While strong earnings have been bolstering confidence in the corporate recovery, investors have remained nervous about the threat to global growth from the COVID-19 delta variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy. The Fed, in its statement released after a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, kept the benchmark policy rate near zero and repeated language that inflation had run persistently below its long-run 2 per cent goal.
“While the economy appears to be inching closer, the Fed has not yet seen sufficiently outsized data to warrant a meaningful policy change,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments LLC. “As a result, we expect the markets to remain volatile in the near-term, driven largely by this season’s remaining corporate earnings announcements, key upcoming economic data reports and the pace of progress in curtailing the global pandemic.”
News that a bipartisan Senate group had agreed on a broad infrastructure deal for spending on projects like roads and bridges lifted stocks like Caterpillar Inc. and Vulcan Materials Co., which rose as much as 4 per cent, the most since May.
Large-cap China stocks listed in the U.S. rebounded after Chinese state media attempted to reassure investors about the market’s stability. In Asia, the Hang Seng Index reversed losses after coming close to entering a bear market. China’s securities regulator held a video conference with executives of major investment banks on Wednesday in an attempt to ease market fears.
A five-day rally that pushed major U.S. equity indexes to all-time highs paused on Tuesday as Alphabet, Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. prepared to release their earnings. While Alphabet gave the biggest lift to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 on Wednesday, Apple weighed it down the most after the iPhone maker warned that its sales growth could be slowing. Microsoft ended little changed after its report.
“This is the time, as we get past the pandemic, get past all of the fiscal and monetary support, that really you need to know which companies that you’re investing in,” Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors, said on Bloomberg TV. “Do they have very strong balance sheets? Do they have a strong customer base? And I think what we’re seeing with the big tech, they’re proving again this week is that’s exactly what they have.”
Earnings also drove moves in other major U.S. stocks. Boeing Co. climbed after its posting its first profit since 2019. Starbucks Corp. dropped on slowing China growth. Advanced Micro Devices Inc. climbed to an all-time high after the chipmaker raised its outlook for full-year revenue growth. McDonald’s fell for the first time in seven sessions on concern about its outlook for margins.
So far, almost 90 per cent of the S&P 500 companies that have reported second-quarter results have exceeded analysts’ earnings estimates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Here are the main moves in the markets:
- Futures on the S&P 500 were little changed as of 4:50 p.m. New York time
- Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.2 per cent
- The MSCI World index rose 0.2 per cent
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2 per cent
- The euro rose 0.2 per cent to US$1.1843
- The British pound rose 0.2 per cent to US$1.3905
- The Japanese yen fell 0.1 per cent to 109.92 per dollar
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell 1 basis point to 1.23 per cent
- Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at -0.45 per cent
- Britain’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 0.57 per cent
- West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1 per cent to US$72.38 a barrel
- Gold futures rose 0.4 per cent to US$1,811.90 an ounce