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Jul 21, 2022

Tesla's rally creates US$1B headache for its army of shorts

Tesla's bitcoin sale was a prudent move to preserve cash in a hard Q2: Seth Goldstein

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The 10 per cent surge in Tesla Inc. shares Thursday after the electric-vehicle maker reported strong earnings is creating one notable group of losers: The pile of traders betting against the stock. 

Tesla is the most shorted stock in the world, with almost 3 per cent of its float held in short-selling positions. S3 Partners estimates that these investors are taking in more than US$1 billion in mark-to-market losses just on Thursday’s surge. That drives their losses this month to US$2.67 billion, according to S3.

“Tesla short sellers were actively trimming their exposure ahead of the earnings release, covering 2.09 million shares, worth US$1.55 billion, over the last 30 days,” S3’s managing director of predictive analytics Ihor Dusaniwsky wrote in a note. Short sellers could continue to get squeezed out of their positions due to such “large and sudden losses,” he wrote.

Shares of the Elon Musk-led company are on a seven-day winning streak and on pace to close at the highest level since May 6.

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Of course, none of this diminishes the strong year Tesla shorts have enjoyed so far, racking up US$6.34 billion in mark-to-market profits in 2022. 

The reason is no surprise. Tesla is in the midst of a troubled year as the company battles supply-chain troubles and soaring raw-material costs. It was forced to tackle production disruptions in China due to Covid-related lockdowns. Then there’s Musk’s ill-fated pursuit of social-media company Twitter Inc., which weighed further on investor sentiment.  

However, Tesla’s second-quarter results after the market closed on Wednesday helped allay many of those concerns. The company stood by its production outlook for the year and said demand was not a problem. 

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