(Bloomberg) -- European Union leaders are due to decide who’s going to lead the bloc’s key institutions at a summit in Brussels Thursday -- even though it’s not exactly clear who’s in the running for what.

At stake is oversight of monetary policy for the euro area and regulation of the vast single market stretching from the Arctic circle to the Mediterranean. Conflicting political interests, geographical power, gender balance and institutional muscle-flexing will all come into play.

Read More: A Guide to Where Leaders Stand in Horsetrading for Top EU Jobs

Key Developments:

  • France is focusing on getting the European Commission post rather than the ECB
  • German ECB candidate Jens Weidmann has made a late bid to win round critics
  • The EU’s Christian Democrats are insisting that they should lead the bloc’s executive arm, as the biggest group in parliament. With the backlash against their official candidate Manfred Weber growing, other options include Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier or Bulgaria’s Kristalina Georgieva.

Leaders Must Opt for Change, Vestager Says (12:10 p.m)

Margrethe Vestager, the EU’s antitrust chief, says she’s not confident that she will get the the presidency of the European Commission, but adds that she hopes that heads of state will hear the calls from voters for something new. Asked about her own chances ahead of a meeting of her liberal parties group, she told reporters that she will probably be sleeping by the time EU leaders make a decision tonight.

Hungary Backs Barnier (Earlier)

EU Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier is among the candidates Hungary could support for commission president, according to the minister in charge of the Prime Minister’s Office, Gergely Gulyas. Hungary rejects Weber as European Commission President

Earlier:

Weidmann Attempts Game Changer in ECB Race by Endorsing OMTFrance to Focus on Top EU Post, Easing Weidmann’s Path to ECBFaltering German Hands Vestager Chance to Claim Europe’s Top JobRace for Top ECB Job Is Proxy Battle Between Merkel and Macron

--With assistance from Nikos Chrysoloras, Richard Bravo, Zoe Schneeweiss, Ian Wishart, Viktoria Dendrinou, Jonathan Stearns, Milda Seputyte, Stephanie Bodoni, Jan Bratanic, John Follain, Lyubov Pronina, Alexander Weber, Ewa Krukowska, Maria Tadeo, Sammy Jenkins, Katharina Rosskopf and William Horobin.

To contact the reporters on this story: Patrick Donahue in Berlin at pdonahue1@bloomberg.net;Lyubov Pronina in Brussels at lpronina@bloomberg.net;Marine Strauss in Brussels at mstrauss30@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Ben Sills at bsills@bloomberg.net, Nikos Chrysoloras

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