(Bloomberg) -- President Donald Trump told Americans to expect more coronavirus cases in the weeks ahead as the U.S. deploys millions of rapid tests to states. Warning signs are emerging that the country faces more deaths and serious illnesses as winter approaches.

The governors of New York and California cautioned of potential upticks in cases. Canada’s two largest provinces are facing new limits on activity after infections spiked.

The global death toll from Covid-19 is nearing one million. In Europe, Germany could face more than 19,000 new cases a day by Christmas, Chancellor Angela Merkel warned, while France marked the lowest daily increase since August. Moscow has started to reopen temporary hospital wards as infections in the Russian capital soar.

Key Developments:

• Global Tracker: Cases top 33 million; deaths exceed 999,600
• Covid-19 death toll nears 1 million, but real number may be double
• U.K. dangles threat of tougher London rules as cases soar
• Dutch imposing stricter measures to avoid second lockdown
• Who’s succeeding against the coronavirus and why: QuickTake

Subscribe to a daily update on the virus from Bloomberg’s Prognosis team here. Click CVID on the terminal for global data on coronavirus cases and deaths.

Canada Provinces Imposing New Limits (6:30 a.m. HK)

Canada’s largest provinces are bringing in new limits on activity after a spike in Covid-19 cases, threatening to short-circuit an economic recovery.

Quebec will force public places including bars, museums, cinemas and restaurant dining rooms to close from Oct. 1 to Oct. 28 in three regions, including greater Montreal and greater Quebec City. Schools and stores will remain open. The province has about 5,000 active cases, a 71% jump from the beginning of August.

Ontario, the largest province, reported 700 new cases Monday, the most ever in a day, though it’s also testing far more people than it was in spring. A group of hospitals called on Premier Doug Ford’s government to revert to stricter “stage two” measures in Toronto and Ottawa, which would mean restricting or closing indoor businesses such as gyms, movie theaters and restaurants.

California Warns of Uptick in Transmission (6 a.m. HK)

California, home of the most U.S. cases, is seeing signs that infections may be starting to rise again, Governor Gavin Newsom said Monday. While the number of Californians hospitalized with Covid-19 continues to fall, the state has seen upticks of virus reproductive rates in three regions, which together include the densely populated metropolitan areas of Los Angeles, San Diego and San Francisco, he said.

“You can see that trend line where in the last few weeks the r-effective is beginning to march back up,” Newsom said during a press conference. “This is, again, what science predicted if we go back to our original form, if we’re not cautious, if we’re not vigilant, if we’re not wearing our masks.”

Still, the state has seen marked improvement after a summer surge, with its average rate of positive tests over the past 14 days falling to a new low of 2.8%. Newsom said he expects “a number” of counties will be allowed to move into less-restrictive tiers for businesses this week.

U.S. to Send Rapid Tests to States (4:20 p.m. NY)

President Donald Trump announced plans to distribute millions of Abbott Laboratories’s 15-minute Covid-19 tests in the coming weeks, a move aimed at expanding access and helping reopen schools.

The federal government expects to ship 150 million of the Abbott rapid tests, based on states’ populations, Trump said at a press conference at the White House. The administration will encourage states -- which have ultimate discretion over how to deploy the tests -- to use about 100 million to screen teachers, check symptomatic children to see if they have contracted the virus, or conduct baseline surveillance.

U.S. Cases Rise 0.4% (4 p.m. NY)

Coronavirus cases in the U.S. increased 0.4% as compared with the same time Sunday to 7.13 million, according to data collected by Johns Hopkins University and Bloomberg News. The increase was less than the 0.6% average daily gain over the past week. There were 204,881 confirmed deaths, up from 204,618 a day ago.

France Has Fewest Daily Cases Since August (2:07 p.m. NY)

France reported 4,070 new cases, the fewest since mid-August. The seven-day rolling average of new infections fell to 12,083 from 12,258 on Sunday. Virus-related deaths rose by 81 to 31,808.

The decline comes as the strictest new measures to close bars early in many cities came into force. Health Minister Olivier Veran has said hospital admissions and deaths linked to Covid-19 will inevitably follow the country’s increase in cases. .

WHO to Provide Access to 15-Minute Tests (12:40 p.m. NY)

The World Health Organization and non-profits including the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation say they will help provide access to 120 million antigen tests to 133 low- and middle-income countries that can give results in 15 minutes.

Abbott Laboratories and SD BioSensor are producing the tests, reserving a fifth of their production to countries most in need. Distribution will begin in October, and the tests will cost $5 each or less. The Global Fund is also participating, though further funding is needed.

New York Sees Positivity Uptick, Cuomo Says (12:20 pm N.Y.)

New York is seeing an uptick in coronavirus cases, particularly in Brooklyn, and Orange and Rockland Counties, Governor Andrew Cuomo said on Monday. Of the 52,000 tests done on Sept. 27, 834, or 1.5%, were positive, he said on a call with reporters. The number of tests coming back positive throughout August and the first week of September were at or below 1%.

Eleven New Yorkers died as a result of the virus, and 543 people hospitalized. Some 2.6% of tests in Brooklyn were positive, and 3% were positive in the Mid-Hudson region, he said. “Brooklyn is a major contributor in the number of cases,” Cuomo said.

U.K. New Case Numbers Continue to Drop (11:45 a.m. N.Y.)

The U.K. reported 4,044 new cases Monday, compared to 5,693 the previous day and a peak of 6.874 at the end of last week. Boris Johnson’s spokesman James Slack warned earlier that it’s too early to say if the government’s decision to restrict social gatherings to groups of no more than six is having an effect. Ten deaths were reported.

New Italian Cases Drop; Naples Hit Hard (11:30 a.m. N.Y.)

Italy reported 1,494 new cases Monday, compared with 1,766 the previous day and a seven-day average of 1,674.

Unlike the first wave of the virus, when Lombardy was the epicenter, the region of Campania around Naples registered the most cases Monday, with 295 new infections in one day. Sixteen deaths were reported, in line with previous days, while hospitalized patients increased by 141 to a 3,241.

Positive Tests on Cruise Ship in Greece (10:25 a.m. N.Y.)

Twelve crew members tested positive on a Tui Cruises-operated ship, Greek authorities said Monday. The vessel is carrying more than 900 passengers and 600 crew members. Testing wasn’t conducted on the passengers because they had to test negative before embarking. The vessel is scheduled to arrive in Pireaus, Greece’s largest port, on Tuesday.

Inovia Puts Partial Hold on Vaccine Study (8:42 a.m. N.Y.)

Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc. put a partial hold on a phase 2-3 study of its Covid-19 vaccine after U.S. regulators raised questions about a delivery device used in the inoculation.

The vaccine maker is working to answer questions from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration about the Cellectra 2000 device used in the trial, Inovio said Monday. The delay is not due to any adverse events from the vaccine, Inovio said

Merkel Warns of Possible Surge by Christmas (6:45 a.m. NY)

Germany will face more than 19,000 new Covid-19 cases a day by the end of December if the current trend in infections isn’t halted, Chancellor Angela Merkel warned on Monday. The country recorded about 11,000 cases last week. The country must act quickly to avoid the same rapid rise in cases that has been seen in neighboring countries such as France, which has been reporting an average of about 12,000 cases each day, Merkel told leaders of her party.

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