(Bloomberg) -- The Tokyo metropolitan government will seek to have bars and restaurants close early under a virus quasi-emergency and in some cases stop serving alcohol, as case numbers soar to a record across the country, national broadcaster NHK said. 

The government’s expert panel on Wednesday approved a plan to place 13 areas including Tokyo and its surroundings under the virus curbs, NHK said. The decision is set to be made official later in the day. With three regions already under a quasi-emergency, the move will mean 16 of Japan’s 47 prefectures are affected, accounting for more than half the country’s economic activity. The western region of Osaka is also seeing record infections that could soon prompt the government to act.

Reintroducing curbs on businesses could chill the economy, particularly if hospitalizations continue to rise and a full state of emergency is declared. In a report Tuesday, Goldman Sachs economists estimated a one-month emergency would lead to real annualized growth turning negative for the quarter.

WHO and Gates Urge Caution; Tokyo Measures: Virus Update

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said late Tuesday he was looking at a three-week quasi-emergency starting on Friday for the 13 areas including Tokyo.

Bars and restaurants that don’t have certification for their anti-virus measures will be asked to close at 8 p.m. and stop serving alcohol under the restrictions, according to NHK. Those that have the certification will be asked to choose whether to stop serving alcohol and close at 8 p.m., or to serve alcohol until 8 p.m. and close at 9 p.m. Larger subsidies will be offered to those that close at 8 p.m., the report said. 

“Shortening hours will obviously reduce spending on eating out,” said Atsushi Takeda, an economist at Itochu Research Institute, adding that travel to areas under restrictions would also be affected. “There had been expectations for a strong increase in consumption in January-March, as in October-December, but this throws cold water on that idea.”

Virus case numbers soared to a new nationwide record of more than 32,000 on Tuesday, NHK said, while 10 deaths were reported. Tokyo is set to seek a state of emergency if its hospital bed occupancy rate rises over 50%. According to the metropolitan government’s website, 23.4% of the beds were occupied as of Tuesday. 

“What’s different this time is that there are a lot of ‘close contacts,’” said Tsuyoshi Ueno, a senior economist at NLI Research Institute. “They will stop going to work, so there’s a concern” businesses will be short-staffed and unable to provide services.”

Japan is heading into a wave of omicron infections with very few of its people having received a third vaccine dose. About 1.2% of the population had done so as of Tuesday, according to the website of the prime minister’s office. 

 

 

(Updates with approval by expert panel in second paragraph.)

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