Bitcoin could crack US$100K by the end of 2021: Mike Novogratz
Bitcoin’s rally has hit a speed bump, putting it on track for the worst weekly slide in almost a year amid wider losses in risk assets.
The largest cryptocurrency slumped as much as 23 per cent this week, the most since the pandemic-fueled selloff last March. The wider Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index, tracking Bitcoin, Ether and three other cryptocurrencies, was down as much as 26 per cent this week.
Bitcoin fell as much as 8 per cent to US$44,159 before recovering some losses to around US$47,000 as of 3:02 p.m. in New York, according to consolidated pricing compiled by Bloomberg.
“It is a market that was ridiculously overbought and will probably be so once again in the not-too-distant future,” Craig Erlam, a senior market analyst at OANDA Europe, said in a note Friday.
The rough patch for Bitcoin comes amid increased volatility in global markets, as a surge in bond yields heralds growing expectations that growth and inflation are moving higher and forcing traders to reevaluate their positions across multiple asset classes. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 dropped the most since October this week as stocks like Tesla Inc. and Peloton Interactive Inc. slumped.
“Risk-on assets are taking a hit at the moment -- we’re seeing stocks slide and crypto is following,” said Vijay Ayyar, head of Asia Pacific for cryptocurrency exchange Luno in Singapore. “The dollar is strengthening, which is a good indication to expect a slide in Bitcoin and crypto.”
Bitcoin’s weakness in the face of market gyrations raises questions about its efficacy as a store of value and hedge against inflation, a key argument among proponents of its stunning fivefold rally over the past year. Detractors have maintained the digital asset’s surge is a speculative bubble and it’s destined for a repeat of the 2017 boom and bust.
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While Bitcoin is often touted as the new “digital gold,” the yellow metal is winning out at the moment with spot gold trading around US$1,728 per ounce, down about 3 per cent for the week. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index is up 0.9 per cent in the same period, on track for its strongest gain since October.
Heavy selling in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, the world’s largest such fund, as well as the expiry of Bitcoin options are also contributing to the volatility, Ayyar said. The trust has slumped 23 per cent this week, with losses racing past its underlying asset, as a once-massive price premium over Bitcoin has turned negative as investors cashed in on those gains, he said.
Prominent figures across the financial world have also recently weighed in on Bitcoin.
Tesla chief executive Elon Musk said the prices “seem high” on the weekend, seen by some as an initial catalyst for the week’s selloff. Ark Investment Management’s Cathie Wood later said in a Bloomberg interview she was “very positive on Bitcoin” but didn’t disclose whether Ark had made a purchase.
Earlier this week, Microsoft Corp. co-founder Bill Gates said in a Bloomberg Television interview he wasn’t a fan of Bitcoin, while Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the token was an “extremely inefficient way of conducting transactions.