(Bloomberg) -- Almost a third of the new coal mines planned for the world are in China, all but guaranteeing that output will keep rising in the top producer, even as calls grow for the dirtiest fossil fuel to be phased out to avoid the worst effects of climate change.

Based on data from Global Energy Monitor, China had 559 million tons of proposed new coal mines at the start of the year, accounting for 29% of the global total, according to a note from Bloomberg Intelligence. Australia was second with a 17% share, then India and Russia with 16% each. Still, the 1.94 billion tons of new mines planned around the world is 15% less than a year ago.

China mined 4.01 billion tons of coal in 2021, a figure that will only increase after production was ramped up to record levels to prevent a repeat of the power crisis that crippled the economy last year. 

The daily coal output target was raised to 12.5 million tons in August, implying annualized production of 4.56 billion tons, BI said. While the spot price should remain resilient as miners prioritize shipments to term-contract customers, imports are likely to come under even more pressure.

Events Today

(All times Beijing unless noted otherwise)

  • USDA weekly crop export sales, 08:30 EST

Today’s Chart

China’s commodities importers are facing rising costs after the yuan slumped to its lowest versus the dollar since 2008. The central bank has stepped in to warn against speculation, but market pricing suggests a further drop is likely.

On The Wire

  • Stimulus Seen Driving China Infrastructure: Securities Times
  • IRON ORE FLOWS: Australia Weekly Exports Rise to 18.6M Tons
  • Core Lithium Says Ganfeng New Energy Sells Some Shrs in Company

The Week Ahead

Friday, Sept. 30

  • China’s official PMIs for September, 09:30
    • Caixin’s China factory PMI, 09:45
  • China weekly iron ore port stockpiles
  • Shanghai exchange weekly commodities inventory, ~15:30

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