(Bloomberg) -- Colombian leftist leader Gustavo Petro no longer enjoys a clear path to victory in the upcoming presidential election, according to a new poll.
The survey, conducted by the National Consulting Center and published by Semana magazine on Saturday, suggests a tightening race between Petro and his main rival, conservative candidate Federico “Fico” Gutierrez.
In the likely scenario that the two face each other in a runoff, Petro would receive 43.1% of votes, while Gutierrez would get 40.1%, -- just within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 1.5 percentage point. Previous polls showed Petro easily beating all his main rivals in a second round.
Petro, 61, has called for a new economic model that doesn’t rely on oil and coal. He is popular with young and low-income voters, while many business leaders fear him. Gutierrez, 47-year-old former mayor of Medellin, has vowed to take a tougher stance on security issues.
Colombians vote for president on May 29 with a likely runoff in June.
Other poll findings:
- Petro remains the most popular individual candidate, though many centrist voters would back his rival in the runoff.
- Some 36.5% of polled voters said they would support Petro in the first round, up from 32.1% in the Semana poll conducted two weeks earlier. Gutierrez has 24.5% support.
- Former mayor of Bucaramanga Rodolfo Hernandez is running third with backing of 10% of voters
- Sergio Fajardo, who won the center-left primary this month, is fourth with 8.4%
- Petro would beat Fajardo in a runoff with 41.5% vs. 38.3%
- The poll of 4,206 likely voters was conducted from March 28 to 31
©2022 Bloomberg L.P.
BNN Bloomberg Picks
Loneliness, isolation a side-effect of inflation for seniors
Inflation: These are the grocery items that grew in cost
Elon Musk says he was joking about buying Manchester United
How to protect yourself against fraudsters when travelling
Pulling in the big bucks in 2022? Here are four tax shelters
Gordon Reid's Top Picks: August 16, 2022