Global CIO Office's Dugan Sees Value Stocks Making A Comeback
U.S. equities retreated at the tail end of a big earnings week as investors worried about slowing growth at the megacap technology companies that have helped drive the market to record highs during the pandemic.
Amazon.com Inc. dropped 7.6 per cent in its biggest decline since May 2020, contributing the most to declines in the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indexes, after the company’s sales outlook missed expectations. Tech stocks including Microsoft Corp. also weighed down the Dow Jones Industrial Average. European equities dropped from a record and Asian stocks slid amid China’s regulatory clampdown.
Markets were whipsawed this week by China’s tightening regulatory grip, a slew of earnings and the outlook for stimulus. Amazon’s sales forecast adds to cautious forecasts from Facebook Inc. and Apple Inc., stoking a debate about whether tech stocks’ pandemic-related outperformace will give way to a cyclical revival.
So far, the second-quarter earnings season has been stronger than expected. About three-fifths of S&P 500 companies have reported, and more than 80 per cent have exceeded both sales and profit estimates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. With stocks trading near record highs and valuations stretched, some investors are increasingly concerned that the corporate earnings recovery is peaking as the market faces risks ranging from inflation to the fast-spreading COVID-19 delta variant and China’s crackdown on private technology firms.
“When you get to the valuation levels we’re at, professional investors are looking for a reason to sell,” said David Spika, president of GuideStone Capital Management, which has about US$18 billion of assets under management. “It could be the delta variant, it could be China. It doesn’t matter. They’re looking for a reason to sell because they know valuations are extended and they don’t want to be the last one holding the bag.”
Investors piled into cash and equities in the past week, according to a Bank of America Corp. note citing EPFR Global data. BofA strategists recommended owning defensive and quality names in the second half of the year, as “policy flip-flops will end in market correction.”
Elsewhere, Pinterest Inc. plunged 18 per cent to a two-month low after analysts said the company’s monthly user trends were disappointing.
Oil prices rose, with West Texas Intermediate crude settling at US$73.95 a barrel as concerns about the delta variant’s impact on fuel demand eased amid tight global supplies. The Bloomberg Commodity Index was down more than 1 per cent, paring a third consecutive weekly gain.
Here are the main moves in the markets:
- The S&P 500 fell 0.5 per cent as of 4:02 p.m. New York time
- The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.6 per cent
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4 per cent
- The MSCI World index fell 0.8 per cent
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.3 per cent
- The euro fell 0.2 per cent to US$1.1861
- The British pound fell 0.4 per cent to US$1.3899
- The Japanese yen fell 0.2 per cent to 109.71 per dollar
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined four basis points to 1.23 per cent
- Germany’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to -0.46 per cent
- Britain’s 10-year yield was little changed at 0.56 per cent
- West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.2 per cent to US$73.77 a barrel
- Gold futures fell 1 per cent to US$1,816.90 an ounce