Canadian home values fall for first time in three decades
Canadian home values fell last year for the first time in three decades amid falling prices in some of the country’s priciest markets, even as debt burdens increased.
The value of residential real estate in Canada held by households dropped $30 billion in the fourth quarter to $5.10 trillion, from $5.13 trillion in the same quarter the previous year, Statistics Canada reported Thursday. The 0.6 per cent decline is the first decrease in country-wide home values in data going back to 1990.
Households meanwhile saw their debt burdens rise at the end of last year, with the debt to disposable income ratio hitting a record 174 per cent in the fourth quarter. The worsening reflects a sharp slowdown in economic growth at the end of last year.
Canadians are also spending a larger proportion of their income on servicing that debt. The debt service ratio -- the proportion of a household’s income that goes to paying off principal and interest on debt -- rose to 14.9 per cent in the quarter, the highest level since the fourth quarter of 2007.
Debt-to-disposable income should plateau moving forward, Priscilla Thiagamoorthy, an economic analyst at BMO Capital Markets, said by phone.
“Credit growth is slowing so as a result of that, we should expect to see maybe steady or lower debt ratios going forward, especially because of a cooler housing market and a slowdown in consumer spending,” Thiagamoorthy said.
In a separate report, the agency said new home prices fell 0.1 per cent in January from a year earlier -- the first decline since 2009. While the index doesn’t include condominiums, the weakness was driven by declines in the Toronto and Vancouver regions, which fell 1.5 per cent and 0.3 per cent respectively.